Ego and Fear

Another brilliant email from an up and coming trader and a long time friend. Brian kindly allowed me to quote a big chunk of his thoughts on ego and fear in trading. Worth reading several times.

But of course "ego" in trading reveals itself in subtler ways. I came to realize that after watching any chart for a while I would form an confident opinion about where the price was headed. "Okay, that's a bottom there." "Now the price is going to reverse and test that last support level." Thinking I could predict the market was clearly egotistical.

So one big change has been to no longer guess where the price is going. I wait for trends where ANYBODY can see the price is going somewhere, and trade that trend. Makes for a lot more quiet periods of no trades but more successful trades when they do occur.

"Fear" is another big issue for traders and for me the issue is "not having enough of it". I've been willing to bet the bank on a hunch and have been working to change that. Now when I enter a trade I use mental imagery to escalate my fears so that I trade more responsibly. Have you seen the iMax films "Everest" or "The Alps". Currently I imagine I am high up the sheer face of a rock cliff and the only thing keeping me alive is my attention to the security of the pitons and the condition of the ropes. This helps me be more selective in my entries and in placing my stops.

How do fear and ego enter into your trading? Are you still trying to guess where price is going? Are you imagining yourself on the edge of a cliff, or are you already spending the profits you haven't yet banked?

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Trading Less Rocks. It Rocks Hard.

I received an email from a good friend and a rising trader -- someone who is getting it. Who is making leaps in the mental arena and understanding what really matters. I want to share a quote from his email to me.

it seems to me that i have taken way less trades lately. i am down to 1 or 2 trades per week versus 1 or 2 trades per day. this is probably the first step in being successful.

Now thatis a wonderful realization.

Continue reading "Trading Less Rocks. It Rocks Hard." »

The Fear Factor

I was chatting with a friend tonight about trading and she said she still had the "fear factor" when it came to pulling the trigger and taking a trade. It made me think. There are only a few reasons that people fear taking a trade:

1. Their trade size is too big. If the monetary loss if your stop is hit is frightening you, then lower the trade size. If the loss if your stop is hit is greater than 1%, take a long hard breath, think about your spleen, and reduce the trade size.

2. They haven't really tested their system. No testing = very little confidence.

3. They are afraid of being wrong. This usually relates back to #1 or #2 above.

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Some Well Planned Trades

A friend Craig sent me some charts in the last few days, to plan his trades. This morning it struck me why it is that I like what he is doing.

I wrote to him:

What I like most about your charts is that it is clear that you are thinking through your plans. You are not just bouncing around the charts looking for justification to take trades. You are careful about your entries -- you are not just jumping into the market, but "asking" the currency pair to do something particular before you get into a trade.

It's impressive to see a trader take his time with his trade planning. To hunker down and wait for the market to produce an opportunity. And then, when he has an opportunity -- when the market shows its hand, so to speak -- then he pounes. He's ready to trade. He knows what he wants to do, and there aren't any unanswered questions about his stop loss, or his profit target.. He's made those plans in advance and he doesn't have to hesitate because this is what he's been waiting for.

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Free Book & Reception

I will be holding a free open house / reception, on Tuesday, April 10, 2007, at 7pm.

The location will be the Piptopia West trading office – at this address:

4711 E Falcon Dr
Mesa, Arizona 85215

Here is a Google Map of the location.

The first 30 people (at least) will receive a free copy of my new book, Adventures of a Currency Trader. There will be refreshments as well. If you are planning to attend, please RSVP by sending me an email with only the words ‘RSVP PIPTOPIA WEST’ in the subject line. Please do not include any other information in the subject line.

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NFP Contest Update

Todd Winchell and Kevin Eaton won the NFP system-creation contest. They did an enormous amount of work and built some cool trading systems. You can see what they created by clicking here.

Information about Kevin’s system and backtesting can be found in a really cool Forex Factory thread by clicking here.

Kevin’s system includes the use of the Sentinel Index, an improved barometer of the strength of the US Dollar, built by Joe Kight. This link has the actual indicator.

In order to use that indicator, you will need to have access to a Metatrader charting platform, which you can get at the following link:

http://www.metaquotes.net

There are instructions on the Metaquotes web site about installing new indicators. If you have trouble getting it set up, make sure to take advantage of all the free help on the cool Forex Factory thread I posted above.

I hope you benefit from the work that Todd and Kevin did. They are intelligent and generous traders.

Continue reading "NFP Contest Update" »

Fun in Vancouver

It was great to meet some of you in Vancouver last night. Photos of the get together can be seen by clicking here.

We are going to hold an open house at the Piptopia office in Mesa, Arizona, on Tuesday, April 10, at 7:00pm. We'll have light refreshments and plenty to talk about. No need to RSVP. Just come. If you do not already have a copy of my new book, we'll have a few free copies of the book there.

Here's a Google Map for the address of the Piptopia office in Mesa.

I hope to see you there!

Continue reading "Fun in Vancouver" »

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