Not Acting Until Crisis

It's normal for humans to do nothing about a problem until it becomes a crisis. But why is that?

Why is it that a trader will compound a losing position with massive trades, but only after he has nearly exhausted his financial resources, will he actually admit that he should have simply dumped the trade when it was not working out early on? Why does a Wall Street investment firm turn a blind eye to risk problems, and only face up to the true nature of the problem when they have to write off zillions of dollars in bad credit/mortgage/SIV investments?

Humans want to give their genius ideas a chance to succeed. We naturally want to believe that if we let it go a bit longer, that things can turn around. We also naturally believe that if we cut off everything the moment something goes wrong, that we're quitters. Giving up fast is not something that gains us a lot of respect, but it's exactly what can make a so-so trader into a great one: the ability to give up when it's necessary. And give up fast.

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March Trading Contest

The March TraderRadio.net Contest is ready to go -- and you can register for it here:

https://fx2.oanda.com/mod_perl/fxcontest/fxcontest.pl?rm=contestDetails&contestId=553

And discuss the contest here:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=64310

Happy trading!

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The Trading Contest Nears an End

The trading contest at forexfactory.com (thanks guys!) is almost over and you can read all about it here:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=64310

And you also get information about next month's contest, with a prize of $500.

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What's on your plate?

Another one I really liked.

license.gif

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Radio Show Update

The radio show has been going well. We've got a few new shows for you to listen to. Click here to visit the radio page and see the archives!

http://traderradio.net/

We're live every weekday 8:30 am - 9:30 am Eastern US time.

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FXStreet.com Trading Plan Webinar Here

We did a webinar on trade plans for FXStreet.com. You can watch the webinars here:

Click here for part one.

Click here for part two.

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The Free Atlanta Seminar

I am going to do a free seminar in Atlanta on Saturday, March 1. Seating goes super fast for the free Saturday seminars, so register right away if you want to come. It's really free, and we'll spend at least three hours (and probably more) talking about trading, systems that I use for trading, the psychology of trading, risk management, and more.

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The Forex License Plate

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Australia Takes a Hike

Brandi sent an intelligent question tonight: If the Australian Reserve Bank hiked rates today, then why would I be selling the pair (which I have been for a few days)? It begs the question: Is a rate hike really good for the AUD? Maybe it is. Maybe it SHOULD be. Perhaps in the beginning stages of a global economic slowdown (meltdown?) the Reserve Bank is worried about stagflation -- a slowing economy but higher prices. Perhaps China's demand for raw materials is enough to keep commodity prices high indefinitely. Perhaps those high prices will continue to filter down into the price of regular stuff in Australia. But what if traders see the hike as the last in the economic up-cycle, and it's all downhill from here? What if they read the statement (click here to read it) and they think, "Holy crap, they emphasized the global economic slowdown?" Then it's bad for the AUD. Just my two cents. Happy Monday evening. If you live in a U.S. Super Tuesday state, then please remember to vote tomorrow.

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